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(i) An experiment was conducted to study the choices made in fund selection. Su...
May 17, 2024
Solution by Steps
step 1
Calculate the total number of students:
100
+
100
=
200
100 + 100 = 200
100
+
100
=
200
step 2
Calculate the number of students who selected the lowest-cost fund:
14
+
14
=
28
14 + 14 = 28
14
+
14
=
28
step 3
Calculate the number of students who selected the second-lowest-cost fund:
40
+
35
=
75
40 + 35 = 75
40
+
35
=
75
step 4
Calculate the total number of students who selected the lowest- or second-lowest-cost fund:
28
+
75
=
103
28 + 75 = 103
28
+
75
=
103
step 5
Calculate the probability:
103
200
\frac{103}{200}
200
103
Answer
$\frac{103}{200}$
# b. Probability of selecting the lowest-cost fund and being an undergraduate
step 1
Calculate the number of undergraduate students who selected the lowest-cost fund:
14
14
14
step 2
Calculate the total number of students:
200
200
200
step 3
Calculate the probability:
14
200
\frac{14}{200}
200
14
Answer
$\frac{14}{200}$
# c. Probability of selecting the highest-cost fund, given the student is an undergraduate
step 1
Calculate the number of undergraduate students who selected the highest-cost fund:
27
27
27
step 2
Calculate the total number of undergraduate students:
100
100
100
step 3
Calculate the conditional probability:
27
100
\frac{27}{100}
100
27
Answer
$\frac{27}{100}$
# d. Probability of being an MBA student, given the student selected the lowest-cost fund
step 1
Calculate the number of MBA students who selected the lowest-cost fund:
14
14
14
step 2
Calculate the total number of students who selected the lowest-cost fund:
28
28
28
step 3
Calculate the conditional probability:
14
28
\frac{14}{28}
28
14
Answer
$\frac{14}{28}$
Part (ii) # a. Probability that no private airplane will arrive in a given hour
step 1
Use the Poisson distribution formula:
P
(
X
=
k
)
=
λ
k
e
−
λ
k
!
P(X = k) = \frac{\lambda^k e^{-\lambda}}{k!}
P
(
X
=
k
)
=
k
!
λ
k
e
−
λ
step 2
Set
λ
=
1.4
\lambda = 1.4
λ
=
1.4
and
k
=
0
k = 0
k
=
0
:
P
(
X
=
0
)
=
1.
4
0
e
−
1.4
0
!
P(X = 0) = \frac{1.4^0 e^{-1.4}}{0!}
P
(
X
=
0
)
=
0
!
1.
4
0
e
−
1.4
step 3
Simplify:
P
(
X
=
0
)
=
e
−
1.4
P(X = 0) = e^{-1.4}
P
(
X
=
0
)
=
e
−
1.4
Answer
$e^{-1.4}$
# b. Probability that less than 5 private airplanes will arrive in an 8-hour interval
step 1
Calculate the new
λ
\lambda
λ
for 8 hours:
λ
=
1.4
×
8
=
11.2
\lambda = 1.4 \times 8 = 11.2
λ
=
1.4
×
8
=
11.2
step 2
Use the cumulative Poisson distribution: P(X < 5) = \sum_{k=0}^{4} \frac{11.2^k e^{-11.2}}{k!}
step 3
Calculate each term and sum: P(X < 5) = \frac{11.2^0 e^{-11.2}}{0!} + \frac{11.2^1 e^{-11.2}}{1!} + \frac{11.2^2 e^{-11.2}}{2!} + \frac{11.2^3 e^{-11.2}}{3!} + \frac{11.2^4 e^{-11.2}}{4!}
Answer
$\sum_{k=0}^{4} \frac{11.2^k e^{-11.2}}{k!}$
Key Concept
Probability calculation using Poisson distribution
Explanation
The Poisson distribution is used to model the number of events occurring within a fixed interval of time or space.
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