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(i) An experiment was conducted to study the choices made in fund selection. Su...
May 17, 2024
Solution by Steps
step 1
Calculate the total number of students: 100+100=200100 + 100 = 200
step 2
Calculate the number of students who selected the lowest-cost fund: 14+14=2814 + 14 = 28
step 3
Calculate the number of students who selected the second-lowest-cost fund: 40+35=7540 + 35 = 75
step 4
Calculate the total number of students who selected the lowest- or second-lowest-cost fund: 28+75=10328 + 75 = 103
step 5
Calculate the probability: 103200\frac{103}{200}
Answer
$\frac{103}{200}$
# b. Probability of selecting the lowest-cost fund and being an undergraduate
step 1
Calculate the number of undergraduate students who selected the lowest-cost fund: 1414
step 2
Calculate the total number of students: 200200
step 3
Calculate the probability: 14200\frac{14}{200}
Answer
$\frac{14}{200}$
# c. Probability of selecting the highest-cost fund, given the student is an undergraduate
step 1
Calculate the number of undergraduate students who selected the highest-cost fund: 2727
step 2
Calculate the total number of undergraduate students: 100100
step 3
Calculate the conditional probability: 27100\frac{27}{100}
Answer
$\frac{27}{100}$
# d. Probability of being an MBA student, given the student selected the lowest-cost fund
step 1
Calculate the number of MBA students who selected the lowest-cost fund: 1414
step 2
Calculate the total number of students who selected the lowest-cost fund: 2828
step 3
Calculate the conditional probability: 1428\frac{14}{28}
Answer
$\frac{14}{28}$
Part (ii) # a. Probability that no private airplane will arrive in a given hour
step 1
Use the Poisson distribution formula: P(X=k)=λkeλk!P(X = k) = \frac{\lambda^k e^{-\lambda}}{k!}
step 2
Set λ=1.4\lambda = 1.4 and k=0k = 0: P(X=0)=1.40e1.40!P(X = 0) = \frac{1.4^0 e^{-1.4}}{0!}
step 3
Simplify: P(X=0)=e1.4P(X = 0) = e^{-1.4}
Answer
$e^{-1.4}$
# b. Probability that less than 5 private airplanes will arrive in an 8-hour interval
step 1
Calculate the new λ\lambda for 8 hours: λ=1.4×8=11.2\lambda = 1.4 \times 8 = 11.2
step 2
Use the cumulative Poisson distribution: P(X < 5) = \sum_{k=0}^{4} \frac{11.2^k e^{-11.2}}{k!}
step 3
Calculate each term and sum: P(X < 5) = \frac{11.2^0 e^{-11.2}}{0!} + \frac{11.2^1 e^{-11.2}}{1!} + \frac{11.2^2 e^{-11.2}}{2!} + \frac{11.2^3 e^{-11.2}}{3!} + \frac{11.2^4 e^{-11.2}}{4!}
Answer
$\sum_{k=0}^{4} \frac{11.2^k e^{-11.2}}{k!}$
Key Concept
Probability calculation using Poisson distribution
Explanation
The Poisson distribution is used to model the number of events occurring within a fixed interval of time or space.
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