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Problem 2 In a batch of microprocessors, the probability that a microprocessor ...
Sep 4, 2024
Solution by Steps
step 1
To find the probability that a lot is rejected, we need to calculate P(X2) P(X \geq 2) where X X follows a binomial distribution with parameters n=10 n = 10 and p=103 p = 10^{-3} . The probability of rejection is given by P(X \geq 2) = 1 - P(X < 2) = 1 - (P(X = 0) + P(X = 1))
step 2
The probabilities can be calculated using the binomial formula: P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nk P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} For P(X=0) P(X = 0) : P(X=0)=(100)(103)0(1103)10=(0.999)100.99004 P(X = 0) = \binom{10}{0} (10^{-3})^0 (1 - 10^{-3})^{10} = (0.999)^{10} \approx 0.99004 For P(X=1) P(X = 1) : P(X=1)=(101)(103)1(1103)9=10(103)(0.999)90.00990 P(X = 1) = \binom{10}{1} (10^{-3})^1 (1 - 10^{-3})^{9} = 10 \cdot (10^{-3}) \cdot (0.999)^{9} \approx 0.00990 Thus, P(X < 2) \approx 0.99004 + 0.00990 \approx 0.99994 Therefore, P(X2)10.99994=0.00006 P(X \geq 2) \approx 1 - 0.99994 = 0.00006
step 3
For the second part, we need to find the probability that at least 60 microprocessors are retained after 6 draws. Each draw consists of 10 microprocessors, so we have a total of 60 microprocessors. The probability of retaining a lot (i.e., having less than 2 defective microprocessors) is P(X < 2) from the first part, which is approximately 0.99994 0.99994 . The probability of retaining at least 60 microprocessors after 6 draws is given by P(Y60) P(Y \geq 60) where Y Y is the number of retained lots. Since each lot is independent, we can use the binomial distribution again with n=6 n = 6 and p0.99994 p \approx 0.99994 . Thus, P(Y \geq 60) = 1 - P(Y < 60) \approx 1
[question number] Answer
A
Key Concept
Binomial Distribution
Explanation
The binomial distribution is used to model the number of successes in a fixed number of independent Bernoulli trials, each with the same probability of success. In this case, it helps calculate the probabilities of defective microprocessors.
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