Solution by Steps
step 1
To calculate the NPV using your partner's optimistic estimates, we first determine the cash inflows for each year: RM60,000 for 6 years and RM50,000 from the sale of equipment at the end of Year 6. The formula for NPV is given by:
NPV=t=1∑n(1+r)tCt−C0
where Ct is the cash inflow at time t, r is the discount rate, and C0 is the initial investment. Here, r=0.05 and C0=200,000 step 2
For the optimistic estimates, the cash flows are:
- Year 1: RM60,000
- Year 2: RM60,000
- Year 3: RM60,000
- Year 4: RM60,000
- Year 5: RM60,000
- Year 6: RM60,000 + RM50,000 (salvage value) = RM110,000.
Now, we calculate the NPV:
NPV=(1+0.05)160,000+(1+0.05)260,000+(1+0.05)360,000+(1+0.05)460,000+(1+0.05)560,000+(1+0.05)6110,000−200,000 step 3
Calculating each term:
- Year 1: 1.0560,000≈57,142.86
- Year 2: (1.05)260,000≈54,421.78
- Year 3: (1.05)360,000≈51,843.09
- Year 4: (1.05)460,000≈49,305.80
- Year 5: (1.05)560,000≈46,809.05
- Year 6: (1.05)6110,000≈82,700.00
Now, summing these values gives us the total present value of cash inflows step 4
The total present value of cash inflows is approximately:
57,142.86+54,421.78+51,843.09+49,305.80+46,809.05+82,700.00≈342,222.58
Now, we calculate the NPV:
NPV=342,222.58−200,000≈142,222.58 step 5
Now, we calculate the NPV using your cautious estimates. The cash flows are:
- Year 1: RM40,000
- Year 2: RM50,000
- Year 3: RM60,000
- Year 4: RM70,000
- Year 5: RM80,000
- Year 6: RM80,000 + RM50,000 (salvage value) = RM130,000.
Using the same NPV formula, we calculate:
NPV=(1+0.05)140,000+(1+0.05)250,000+(1+0.05)360,000+(1+0.05)470,000+(1+0.05)580,000+(1+0.05)6130,000−200,000 step 6
Calculating each term for cautious estimates:
- Year 1: 1.0540,000≈38,095.24
- Year 2: (1.05)250,000≈45,351.56
- Year 3: (1.05)360,000≈51,843.09
- Year 4: (1.05)470,000≈57,305.80
- Year 5: (1.05)580,000≈62,809.05
- Year 6: (1.05)6130,000≈100,000.00
Now, summing these values gives us the total present value of cash inflows step 7
The total present value of cash inflows for cautious estimates is approximately:
38,095.24+45,351.56+51,843.09+57,305.80+62,809.05+100,000.00≈355,404.74
Now, we calculate the NPV:
NPV=355,404.74−200,000≈155,404.74 Answer
For the optimistic estimates, NPV ≈ RM142,222.58; for the cautious estimates, NPV ≈ RM155,404.74.
Key Concept
Net Present Value (NPV) is a method used to evaluate the profitability of an investment by comparing the present value of cash inflows to the initial investment.
Explanation
The NPV values indicate that both estimates are positive, suggesting financial viability, but the cautious estimates yield a higher NPV, making them more favorable for the project's financial viability.
(ii) Interpretation of NPV Values
The optimistic estimate yields an NPV of RM142,222.58, while the cautious estimate yields RM155,404.74. The higher NPV from the cautious estimate suggests it is more favorable for the project's financial viability.
(iii) Impact of Cash Flow Variations
Variations in cash flow patterns can significantly impact investment decisions, as they affect the NPV and overall financial assessment of a project. More stable and predictable cash flows generally lead to more favorable investment evaluations.